Q-Day Lab Baseline Data

Current Baseline

Baseline Q-Day Estimate:

6.6 years

Last Updated:

2025-11-10T16:08:59+00:00

Baseline Synchronization

Q-Day Lab uses a weekly baseline sync system to maintain accuracy:

  • Source: 4-AI-engine consensus (OpenAI GPT-4, Anthropic Claude, Google Gemini, xAI Grok)
  • Method: Engines analyze latest quantum hardware publications, roadmaps, and announcements
  • Frequency: Weekly updates recommended
  • Storage: Cached in baseline_cache.json

How to Update

Admin users can sync the baseline via:

GET /api/qday/baseline/update?token=YOUR_SYNC_SECRET

Or use the admin sync button on the main page:

https://your-site.com/qday?token=YOUR_SYNC_SECRET

Engine Details

Individual engine estimates from last sync:

Engine Estimate (years) Confidence
OpenAI GPT-4 6.5 high
Anthropic Claude 6.8 high
Google Gemini 6.4 medium
xAI Grok 6.7 medium

Data Provenance

Baseline estimates consider:

  • Published quantum hardware roadmaps (IBM, Google, IonQ, Rigetti, etc.)
  • Academic research milestones (error rates, coherence times, gate fidelities)
  • Industry announcements and funding rounds
  • NIST PQC standardization timeline
  • Historical quantum computing progress curves

Note: Baseline reflects expert consensus as of last sync. Rapid developments may require more frequent updates.

API Access

Programmatic access to baseline data:

GET /api/qday/baseline

Returns current cached baseline (public endpoint)

{
  "baseline_years": 6.6,
  "updated_at": "2025-11-10T16:08:59+00:00",
  "engines": [...]
}
POST /api/qday

Calculate adjusted Q-Day with custom capability inputs

{
  "logical_qubits": 64,
  "error_correction": 0.40,
  "qubit_quality": 0.40,
  "ai_discovery": 0.30,
  "classical_boost": 0.30,
  "magic_factory": 0.40
}

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